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CRS86554EPWpage06
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CRS-4 PROGRAM FUNDING Funding for Head Start has grown from approximately $96.4 million in FY 1965 to more than $1.0 billion in FY 1985 (see table 1). The number of children served in FY 1965 (summer only) was 561,000. In FY 1966, full-year (school year) and summer enrollment was 733,000. In FY 1984 (full year only)g there were 1,281 Head Start programs in the U.S., serving 442,140 children. Head
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CRS86554EPWpage35
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. 14-15 and Cognitive and Social Gains in Head Start Don't Last, Report Says. Report on Preschool Pro- grams, Oct. 1, 1985. p. 3-4. ‘ S §§f The Impact of Head Start on Children, Families and Communities. p. 111.
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CRS86554EPWpage14
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Response to Direct Funding for Training. Report on Preschool Programs, June 25, 1985. p. 7. 1/ Ibid. 8/ Head Start Leader Discusses Issues of the '80s. Report on Preschool Programs, Oct. 15, 1985. p. 5. “ 2/ Head Start Programs: Mixed Response to Direct Funding for Training, p. 8.
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CRS86554EPWpage34
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CRS-32 The Executive Summary of the CSR review notes that the studies were "vir-' tually unanimous" in finding that Head Start has immediate positive effects on children's cognitive ability but that the cognitive test score gains do not appear to persist over the long-term (i.e., 2 years after Head Start). The summary indicates that the evidence suggests that Head Start
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CRS86554EPWpage36
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gains the children had made." 21] E2] Hebbeler, Kathleen. An Old and a New Question on the Effects of Early Education for Children from Low Income Families. Educational Evaluation and Policy Analysis, v. 7, no. 3 (fall 1985). p. 207-216. 31/ Ibid., p. 216. ueeeev wA::%.: r:;«eToN UN2'v' ST. LOUILS - MO.
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CRS86554EPWpage16
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CRS-14 system is currently administered by the National Association for the Education of Young Children (NAEYC), as discussed later in this section.) The perform- ance-based assessments are conducted by local assessment teams which gubmitr documentation and recommendations to the CDA National Credential Program. Ac- cording to DHHS, approximately 3,000 assessments are made each year. The 1985
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CRS86554EPWpage02
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ADMINISTRATIONOOOOOOOOOOOOOOIOOOOOOO0000000IOOOOOOOOQIOOOOOIOOOOO Head Start Teachers’ Salaries and Unemployment Compensation . . . . ..,... Attendance0OO0000000000OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOQOG000000000 InsuranceOO0OOOIOIOOOOOOOOOOOOOODOOOOOO-OOOOOOOIOOIOOOOOOO PROGRAM EVALUATIONS................ OOOOOODOOOOCOOOOOOOOOIOD00000000009000 Two Recent Evaluations of Early Childhood Intervention Programs...... 13 16 19 19 24 26 28 29
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CRS86554EPWpage22
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to reflect insurance usage) and there have been dramatic increases in unemploy- . if ment insurance costs for Head Start programs in the past three years ($9.8 mil- plion in l983 to $15.6 million in 1985). The report notes that these costs are draining funds that "might otherwise be used for merit or cost of living raises for staff" and "are unnecessarily eroding the quality of the programs
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CRS83558Spage19
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economic growth, provide for aging and retirement of plant, and to reduce dependence on oil and gas. The capacity planned by the utilities for 1991 is sufficient to provide a secure supply assuming electric growth of 2.9 percent annually, but not enough to cover the aboverequirements. elf electric demand grows at 1.4 percent per year, planned capacity is adequate for all purposes. On the other hand
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CRS83558Spage39
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LECTRIC CAPACITY, 1973-2000 CRS-29 HIGH MEDIUM " ou q‘\ "‘I‘T T U '1" O 0 G O G G W , M 5 ¢ H000 ENOCBCPFM rw% 1 I I I I ITUU maoo «O00 «mmm «man «mam «now «our «man «mom «God #000 mama «mum «mam «mmm «amt «omm «mam fi®Qd_ «Qua “Q50 dOFN% «obs «Ohm «ohm «arr %«OFM Venn
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CRS83558Spage42
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CRS-32 umqo . ozmou._ 4:4: xfit mmco Sac: _..........HH_ uESuzmm...,: BB m¢w> ooom mama snag man“ 1 w om: . o w w om H In .x. zacmqz znm wsmmmmm ooom 0.». mmo n mozzzmom mooE<> .mz_om§ Emmmmm afiazzmm m mz=oHm
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CRS83558Spage07
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that there will be capacity shortagesiinythe future if plans for new plant are not substantially expanded. The CRS forecasts of demand for electricity indicate that electric genera- tionwill grow at a a ; slower rate than GNP over the next 17 years. Under the medium case scenario electric gdiemandpgrowthawould be 2.9 tpercent through 2000 assuming 3~percent GNP growth in real eterms. The capacity situation depends i
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CRS83558Spage56
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'972 44.8 85 1145 7.3 70 . 1969 ' 1973 ' 1147 3.4 100 1640 7.5 100 1974 - 1978 ~ 1317 2.3 ? 115 2031 4.3 124 1979 ' 1982 1433* 2.4 129 2268 2.3 138 v» Four year average. Sources: Economic Report of the President 1983 and Energy Information Administration, DOE.
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CRS83558Spage58
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CRS-48 Table A-3. Estimaeed Reserve Margins, Various Scenarios, 1990, 1995, 2000 Capacity Case and Year Reserve Margin by Demand Case High Medium Low 1990 Best 1/ 33 42 52 media; _z§_/ 31 33 so Worst 2/ 28 37 47 1995 0Best 1/ ' 24 39 56 Media‘; 2/ ‘ 10 23 33 Worst _3__7 - -5 6 0 19 2000 " Best _1_/ 0 15 35 so Medium 2/ 0-10 5 .24: Worst 37 -34 -25 -11 1/ NERC Estimate. 2/ Average
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CRS83558Spage03
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ABSTRACT This paper presents a series of electric demand and capacity forecasts. These indicate no serious regional imbalance through 1990, but a need for additional capacity by 2000. The effects of economic and physical obsolescence as well as small vs.large plants are also discussed. In any case, much of the deficit could be covered by "least-cost" methods.
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CRS83558Spage08
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planned but not yet authorized by the utilities, as well as forty percent of 1981 capacity due to retirements. The middle capacity case is the average of the high and low.i Reserve margins resulting from the various demand and supply forecasts were used to indicate whether supply problems may occur in the future. Assuming a 20 percent reserve margin requirement as optimal, there appears to be no serious
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CRS83558Spage22
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are long-term and include items such as the decentralization of energy sources, or demand uncer- tainty. Micro issues, on the other hand, tend to be shorter~term, say 1 to 3 years, and include items such as the nuclear versus coal controversy, construc- tion work in progress, etc. The overarching trends, a kind of chicken-and-egg proposition, can be defined as follows: 1. The minimum risk society
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CRS83558Spage21
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cns-1o less than 24 percent complete, will be cancelled. Resulting capacity in 1990 will be 680 MW. This problem‘ will be exacerbated by the assumption that decentralized generation will not make much of an impact. Therefore, DOE estimates that at 2 percent real annual GNP growth, the reserve margin nationally will be 33 percent but less than 20 percent in Texas, SPP, and MAPP; at 3 percent GNP
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CRS83558Spage29
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.S- is not a completely integrated national electric system. To this end we have computed a series of regional estimates (table 1). Inasmuch as we lack a regional model, the regional data were estimated by distributing our national _6__/ 1.1-‘ = Generation (Kwh) our [Peak (Kw) x 8760 hours]. Data from NERO. Electric Powersupply and Demand, 1982-1991. August 1982, p. 21.
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