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CRS83579ENRpage51
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and an 8 percent construction inflation rate (base case assumptions), the 1996 liability for principle alone would be shout $1.2 c billion for Ohio Power, and $880 million for Union Electric.» Accrued isinterest during construction wonld add to this. %The related additionals ; revenue requirement would be abont“3Q6 mills per kwh for Ohio Power andes 4.3 mills per kwh for Unicn Electric in 1996 (nominal
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CRS83579ENRpage45
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analysis.’ Z/1’ ”< %i TABLE 3ft ccompliance Dates Sensitivityi ic » (S billi0ns)%a l i i A 1995 Balance with i i 1995 Balance with li i Soenarioi i % i 1 1990 Compliance ? -’ l992rCompliancec Base Sceoario p c i%i- l% % l -0.69 c i X i+1.61 c i Base Sceanrio: i 12% utility capital GCSCA T A % c i-3.21 4 i ,l it+ r+O.3l; Base Scenario: cost- i~ 14% utility capitali to % e L i -6.21 L c *1;18ii _Z/ r
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CRS83579ENRpage49
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%CRS“23 TABLE 4. 1995 Balances for Icdexed Fee -I "‘ ($ billions)o h i 1995 Balance~- t 1995 Balacce*' A Scenario e c4.8 percent inflationa i. 6 percent inflationt b Base Scenario h L f'V‘17t77 i . c e< i ihs16-13 Base Scenario; 12z u::1i:y e capital cost % Y s 16.00 c i To -* 14.76% Base Scenario; A141 utilityi : e s o capital cost e T i 13.97 s %%ha13.22 A Inc:easing_Fee to 1.5
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CRS83579ENRpage47
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the rise in construction cost or some general indicator of inflation. For texample, if the 1—mill fee is indexed to the 8 percent construction cost esca— 1ator used in the base scenario, the improved 1995 fund balances are quite significant. As shown in table 4, by 1995, the fund has between $14 and $18 billion in extra funds to disperse for stage two reductions; This assumesn actual construction costs
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CRS83579ENRpage61
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‘CRS-29 APPENDIX B ]‘ The following simulations test the impact of varying the utilities cost of capital, assuming two different inflation rates.i Simulation 1 is the examplet described in the text. Simulations 2, 3, and 4 indicate the impact of Varying the tutilities' cost of capital from 8 percent to 12 percent, holding inflation at ii 6 percent. Simulations 5, 6, and 7 illustrate
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